cross-posted from: https://mander.xyz/post/44882952
Here is the original report published by Ukraine’s Foreign Intelligence Service
After statements about an alleged Ukrainian attack on Russian leader Vladimir Putin’s residence, Ukrainian intelligence is detecting the Kremlin’s spread of “new fabricated information pretexts to prepare Russian and foreign audiences for further escalation.”
“We predict with high probability a shift from manipulative influence to an armed provocation by Russian special services with significant human casualties. Expected timing — ahead of or during Orthodox Christmas celebrations. The provocation site could be a religious building or other object with high symbolic value in Russia or temporarily occupied Ukrainian territories,” the FIS said.
According to intelligence, to fabricate evidence of Ukrainian involvement, debris from Western-made strike UAVs will be delivered to the provocation site from the line of contact.
“Exploiting fear and committing terrorist acts with human casualties under a ‘false flag’ fully matches the style of Russian special services. Putin’s regime has repeatedly used this tactic inside Russia, and now the same model is being exported abroad, indirectly confirmed by public statements from senior Russian officials,” the FIS said.
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A related report, citing Ukrainian Military Intel, says that, “To falsify evidence of Ukraine’s involvement, fragments of Western-made attack UAVs will be used, which will be delivered to the site of the provocation from the line of combat contact.”