I am convinced of it, but I also believe that only GDP is not a sufficient indicator, things such as industrial production or R&D in the subject can be factors that complicate the thing.
In any case I am sure that a united European army would give Moscow cold sweats
My thoughts on this have not changed over the past twenty years, only my sense of urgency. I hope all of this will help push these ideas and policies forward.
It does and the actual wording is in my opinion a bit stronger in the EU guarantee, but I believe politically it’s viewed as much weaker since the EU is fundamentally a economic/trade union and not a military one like NATO. That is to say, the EU could still exist without such a clause, but for NATO it’s the entire reason for the organization to be.
EU: “obligation of aid and assistance by all the means in [the member state’s] power”
NATO: “such action as [the member state] deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area”
Thing is though EU membership for Ukraine is still a ways off because there’s still quite a lot of homework to do. A solution is needed now (better, five years ago), and that would mean a European defence treaty not limited to the EU. Also we want the UK to be part of it, anyway and, right now, while we’re at it, let’s make sure Canada is in.
until it’s tested, i’d guess states could say that “all the means” could be read with relation to trade and economics and other things governed by the EU
NATO’s power lies not solely in its codified defense assurances, but in its integration. It might be a defense pact, but at its height of power, it is/was more than the sum of its members assistance.
Am I remembering wrong or isn’t there something like NATO’s article 5 in the EU?
Yes, but it doesn’t apply to the USA, and the rest of us don’t scare Russia. Our priority should be to change this.
Russia’s economy is smaller than Italy’s. If we wanted to defend ourselves, we very well could.
I am convinced of it, but I also believe that only GDP is not a sufficient indicator, things such as industrial production or R&D in the subject can be factors that complicate the thing.
In any case I am sure that a united European army would give Moscow cold sweats
Please do, the EU scaring Russia and being able to stand on its own without NATO would be a good thing for democracies everywhere
My thoughts on this have not changed over the past twenty years, only my sense of urgency. I hope all of this will help push these ideas and policies forward.
It does and the actual wording is in my opinion a bit stronger in the EU guarantee, but I believe politically it’s viewed as much weaker since the EU is fundamentally a economic/trade union and not a military one like NATO. That is to say, the EU could still exist without such a clause, but for NATO it’s the entire reason for the organization to be.
EU: “obligation of aid and assistance by all the means in [the member state’s] power”
NATO: “such action as [the member state] deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area”
Thing is though EU membership for Ukraine is still a ways off because there’s still quite a lot of homework to do. A solution is needed now (better, five years ago), and that would mean a European defence treaty not limited to the EU. Also we want the UK to be part of it, anyway and, right now, while we’re at it, let’s make sure Canada is in.
until it’s tested, i’d guess states could say that “all the means” could be read with relation to trade and economics and other things governed by the EU
There is no precedent, ‘all the means’ could also be French nuclear weapons.
absolutely agree! could mean anything from sanctions and “stern words” to nuclear retaliation
That’s not what “all” means.
law is complex and international treaties are rife with weasel word interpretation
It’s even more explicit than Article 5 of NATO saying that the other members must do everything possible to support the attacked state
Yep
NATO’s power lies not solely in its codified defense assurances, but in its integration. It might be a defense pact, but at its height of power, it is/was more than the sum of its members assistance.