About a third of voters said they thought Trump could lose the Republican nomination because of his legal troubles.
  • Optional@lemmy.world
    215·
    9 months ago

    the poll is from 908 people who answered thirty questions, by telephone.

    If that doesn’t strike you as profoundly weird, it probably should. 908/161420000 = 0.00000562507743774

    So 0.00005% of registered voters think Biden’s gonna drop out and Trump is super fit and healthy.

    • JaymesRS@literature.cafeEnglish
      8·
      9 months ago

      With a good poll design and a good representative sample you can get a 98% confidence interval (within ± 5%) for the US with as few as 550 people.

    • kbal@kbin.melroy.org
      81·
      9 months ago

      tell us you don’t understand mathematics without telling us you don’t understand mathematics

  • jordanlund@lemmy.worldM
    9·
    9 months ago

    Half of voters are morons. Biden won’t “be replaced”, he has to decide to step down on his own, and he won’t…

    Unless…

    Unless Trump gets taken out of the race somehow, then Biden could go “My work here is done!”

  • xmunk@sh.itjust.works
    5·
    9 months ago

    It’s probably too late at this point - the hope would be that an alternative candidate would gain legitimacy through the primary process… at this point if they swapped Biden out (without a really clear excuse like Biden having a stroke or other sudden health issues) it’d probably come across as the DNC kingmaking like they did with Hillary.

    • spider@lemmy.nz
      8·
      9 months ago

      it’d probably come across as the DNC kingmaking like they did with Hillary

      …which is why they’re in this mess in the first place.

      • xmunk@sh.itjust.works
        8·
        9 months ago

        Yup. The DNC is a fucking clown show and you’ll never hear me say otherwise. The DNC gave us Trump - they shat on the popular candidate and splintered the party while Hillary’s campaign actively tried to boost Trump because they were more afraid of Jeb.

        In retrospect, out of Jeb, Hillary and Trump I’d prefer yet-another-president-bush though, of course, Sanders would be my favorite time-line.

        Fuck the DNC so hard.

        • Sanctus@lemmy.worldEnglish
          41·
          9 months ago

          We could have had President Sanders.

          I wrote him in over Hillary I was so mad. I’m sorry.

          • xmunk@sh.itjust.works
            32·
            9 months ago

            I understand your anger - but if the DNC decides Biden is too old to run and puts Hillary on the ballot I’ll still vote for her. Unfortunately America is a two party state and Trump being elected will get a lot of good people killed. His push to kill Roe has already murdered a lot of innocent women. I think we’ve all been there, but the time to act is the primary.

            • FuglyDuck@lemmy.worldEnglish
              5·
              9 months ago

              Because Hilary is a much better candidate…

              Yeah, I hate that they might actually try that.

        • AlligatorBlizzard@sh.itjust.works
          21·
          9 months ago

          Honestly, when the GOP rolled out the clown car of candidates that year, I wanted Jeb to be the Republican nominee. And I grew up in Florida with him as Governor. I would have picked Hillary over Jeb though.

    • sin_free_for_00_days@sopuli.xyz
      3·
      9 months ago

      Most states have a deadline of March 1st for candidates to collect the requirements to be on the ballot. I think that ship sailed a long time ago. Probably trace back to at least when dumb ass Dems voted in '16.

  • Optional@lemmy.world
    73·
    9 months ago

    Yeah, but. It’s a poll. So - make up whatever you want, polls are just about worthless. We keep looking at them because (a) 2016 taught us nothing and (b) there’s no replacement for what polls used to be.