jeffw@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 2 年前Historian who predicted 9 of the last 10 election results says Democrats shouldn't drop Joe Bidenwww.usatoday.comexternal-linkmessage-square91linkfedilinkarrow-up1366arrow-down146file-text
arrow-up1320arrow-down1external-linkHistorian who predicted 9 of the last 10 election results says Democrats shouldn't drop Joe Bidenwww.usatoday.comjeffw@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 2 年前message-square91linkfedilinkfile-text
minus-squareFlowVoid@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up5·2 年前This system is only meant to predict the general election. It ignores any primary candidates who were not nominated.
minus-squareEnsign_Crab@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up4arrow-down2·2 年前Seems to me that the model has some blind spots.
minus-squareFlowVoid@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up5arrow-down1·2 年前It does what it means to do.
minus-squareEnsign_Crab@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up4arrow-down3·2 年前Until it doesn’t. Democrats used to trust polls, too. Now they only trust them if they confirm existing biases.
This system is only meant to predict the general election. It ignores any primary candidates who were not nominated.
Seems to me that the model has some blind spots.
It does what it means to do.
Until it doesn’t.
Democrats used to trust polls, too. Now they only trust them if they confirm existing biases.