Roughly 6 in 10 voters backing President Biden say they’d replace both the incumbent and his rival former President Trump on the 2024 ballot if they could, polling released Wednesday shows. A Pew R…
Geez, i expected more fighting in the comments, but everyone here’s just dunking on op and calling them a “bad actor” so I’ll start one.
Is there even a single comment about the content of the article? Some of y’all commenting on FUD and OPs contributions should take a hard look at their contribution to both this comment chain, and Lemmy in general. I hope it looks better than what i see.
Anyway, enough of how disappointed i am with you, all of you, and on to the article.
Most of the article is just polling opinions, so not a lot to see, but i thought this part was interesting:
Fewer voters also say “it really matters who wins” the 2024 presidential race compared to those that said the same at this point in the 2020 cycle. Back then, 80 percent of Trump supporters and 77 percent of Biden supporters said the race really matters — but those figures have now dropped to 70 percent each.
This is surprising. I thought most people considered this election even more important than the last!
Is there a record somewhere of “election importance”? How far back does it go? Is this 7-10% drop normal?
By the way OP. As someone often critical of Biden i too get called a russian or chinese tank sometimes, so i feel close to ya. Thanks for contentin’ and shit. here’s an upvote from me <3
I think people forget how significant a moment 2020 felt.
Democrats are in for a rude awakening when the turnout plummets this cycle because normal people don’t feel like it’s the end of democracy like they do.
I’m sure that’ll be a great relief to the normal people suffering who didn’t take the warnings seriously.
And I don’t know if I’d call it fear mongering considering the concerns about abortion and the Supreme Court came true. If someone chooses not to take warnings seriously after that, well… They shouldn’t be surprised if this next set of warnings comes true as well.
51% of likely voters in swing states “strongly or somewhat support aid to Israel”. Considering that is the popular opinion among crucial voters, are you fine with Biden’s position on Israel? It’s just “popular governance” after all.
Maybe Bernie should’ve also said he was a through and through capitalist to try and win the primary through “popular governance”?
That link is paywalled, so unless you share the text i guess ill take your word for it.
Regardless, that’s only “popular” if you limit your definition of popular to swing states. Nationally, only 46% of voters(note this is more accurate when limited to registered voters) support more aid to israel (Quinnepaic, April 24), even fewer when limited to democratic and independent voters.
Quinnipiac poll, support for aid to israel by demographic:
64% over 65 years old
60% Republicans
50% White
46% all voters
46% independents
42% Hispanic
36% Democrats
31% Black
26% under 35 years old
The Bernie point is actually interesting, because historically “capitalism” is broadly popular, but his socialist policies are extremely popular, which I suppose would suggest polling is kinda junk as a predictor for popularity anyway.
Although, as I’ve read, people who don’t vote are more likely to vote for trump (basically the argument is that trump convinced them he was an outsider, and appealed to people who don’t normally go out to vote because they feel there is no point), so a drop in turnout would actually favor Dems. And I do think Dems will be fired up more over abortion.
I spent a good amount of time calling OP a shill in this thread without bothering to read the article. The combination of thehill.com + OP’s bias + polls aren’t really indicative of anything let alone deserving of the “multiple updates multiple times per day” conceptual weight they’re being given in OP’s posting history, led me to feel it was a better use of time to just talk about why are we talking about this again and why do we think OP posts this so much, as opposed to just obediently feeling like I’m obligated to spend time talking about it again, because OP feels like posting it again.
I mean I will say in my own defense that earlier today when for the other multiple time OP posted a whole story about how bad Biden’s doing in the polls, I engaged with that story purely on its own merits. Here’s the conversation that ensued:
Me: It seems like this poll is polling everyone, not just likely voters, which is a relevant flaw in it
Someone: “You should read articles before posting them” “You should also believe in science”
Me: (Asks a question to try to Socratically teach them the point I was originally trying to make)
Them: “What are you confused about?” (illustrates that they still don’t get the pretty straightforward point I was making)
Me: (Asks the question again)
Them: (Finally answers the question, seeming to get what I was saying for the first time, but effortlessly pivoting to condescending about how limiting polls to likely voters is a bad idea)
And so on. It went on from there, but the point that I’m making is that engaging with this stuff on its own merits isn’t the doorway to productive conversation it might appear to be. In my experience the shills will come out of the woodwork to make weirdly hostile bad-faith conversation with you for more or less an unlimited amount of time. I think blithely being okay with putting up with an unlimited amount of that isn’t a fair thing to ask people to do.
Thank you. For supposedly being “the most important election of our lives” a lot of people don’t want to hear the truth that Trump could win again and it’ll be Biden’s fault.
It’s a little late for Biden to terminate his campaign. Best thing he can do is pick a progressive VP (I don’t know much about Kamala right now) and then resign day 1.
I think Democrats have focused too much on who they don’t want as President for the last 8 years, and now the party doesn’t have any other candidates that have the name/brand power to go toe to toe with trump and his base of far-right brainwashed quislings. The best bet to win this thing is to run Biden at this point, but they need to build some candidate brand/visibility for their next election.
Geez, i expected more fighting in the comments, but everyone here’s just dunking on op and calling them a “bad actor” so I’ll start one.
Is there even a single comment about the content of the article? Some of y’all commenting on FUD and OPs contributions should take a hard look at their contribution to both this comment chain, and Lemmy in general. I hope it looks better than what i see.
Anyway, enough of how disappointed i am with you, all of you, and on to the article.
Most of the article is just polling opinions, so not a lot to see, but i thought this part was interesting:
This is surprising. I thought most people considered this election even more important than the last!
Is there a record somewhere of “election importance”? How far back does it go? Is this 7-10% drop normal?
By the way OP. As someone often critical of Biden i too get called a russian or chinese tank sometimes, so i feel close to ya. Thanks for contentin’ and shit. here’s an upvote from me <3
I think people forget how significant a moment 2020 felt.
Democrats are in for a rude awakening when the turnout plummets this cycle because normal people don’t feel like it’s the end of democracy like they do.
And then those normal people are in for a rude awakening when it is the end of democracy as we know it.
“I didn’t think the Supreme Court would actually overturn Roe!” – People in 2016 who said to not threaten them with the Supreme Court
Democrats will have no one to blame but themselves for not running on anything other than scaremongering.
I’m sure that’ll be a great relief to the normal people suffering who didn’t take the warnings seriously.
And I don’t know if I’d call it fear mongering considering the concerns about abortion and the Supreme Court came true. If someone chooses not to take warnings seriously after that, well… They shouldn’t be surprised if this next set of warnings comes true as well.
Tell that to the dems, man! If their
scaremongeringwarnings aren’t winning over voters, maybe they should try popular governance.https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-25/us-aid-to-israel-support-drops-as-outrage-over-war-gaza-grows?embedded-checkout=true
51% of likely voters in swing states “strongly or somewhat support aid to Israel”. Considering that is the popular opinion among crucial voters, are you fine with Biden’s position on Israel? It’s just “popular governance” after all.
Maybe Bernie should’ve also said he was a through and through capitalist to try and win the primary through “popular governance”?
Very poor argument.
That link is paywalled, so unless you share the text i guess ill take your word for it.
Regardless, that’s only “popular” if you limit your definition of popular to swing states. Nationally, only 46% of voters(note this is more accurate when limited to registered voters) support more aid to israel (Quinnepaic, April 24), even fewer when limited to democratic and independent voters.
Quinnipiac poll, support for aid to israel by demographic:
64% over 65 years old 60% Republicans 50% White 46% all voters 46% independents 42% Hispanic 36% Democrats 31% Black 26% under 35 years old
The Bernie point is actually interesting, because historically “capitalism” is broadly popular, but his socialist policies are extremely popular, which I suppose would suggest polling is kinda junk as a predictor for popularity anyway.
Honestly, true. Samples for polling have gotten pretty bad.
Not the people who actually took away abortion rights?
Those are the people they’re loosing against, not the reason why they lost to them.
Although, as I’ve read, people who don’t vote are more likely to vote for trump (basically the argument is that trump convinced them he was an outsider, and appealed to people who don’t normally go out to vote because they feel there is no point), so a drop in turnout would actually favor Dems. And I do think Dems will be fired up more over abortion.
The most important election in history is always the one happening next year.
I spent a good amount of time calling OP a shill in this thread without bothering to read the article. The combination of thehill.com + OP’s bias + polls aren’t really indicative of anything let alone deserving of the “multiple updates multiple times per day” conceptual weight they’re being given in OP’s posting history, led me to feel it was a better use of time to just talk about why are we talking about this again and why do we think OP posts this so much, as opposed to just obediently feeling like I’m obligated to spend time talking about it again, because OP feels like posting it again.
I mean I will say in my own defense that earlier today when for the other multiple time OP posted a whole story about how bad Biden’s doing in the polls, I engaged with that story purely on its own merits. Here’s the conversation that ensued:
And so on. It went on from there, but the point that I’m making is that engaging with this stuff on its own merits isn’t the doorway to productive conversation it might appear to be. In my experience the shills will come out of the woodwork to make weirdly hostile bad-faith conversation with you for more or less an unlimited amount of time. I think blithely being okay with putting up with an unlimited amount of that isn’t a fair thing to ask people to do.
Thank you. For supposedly being “the most important election of our lives” a lot of people don’t want to hear the truth that Trump could win again and it’ll be Biden’s fault.
It’s a little late for Biden to terminate his campaign. Best thing he can do is pick a progressive VP (I don’t know much about Kamala right now) and then resign day 1.
I think Democrats have focused too much on who they don’t want as President for the last 8 years, and now the party doesn’t have any other candidates that have the name/brand power to go toe to toe with trump and his base of far-right brainwashed quislings. The best bet to win this thing is to run Biden at this point, but they need to build some candidate brand/visibility for their next election.