Can you give more I go on what you think will happen instead? I don’t doubt it’s naive, but it was my first impression. However, trying to extend skepticism to this, I guess the scenario is that threads federates, uses existing community to grow, becomes significantly larger, then starts creating proprietary protocols to draw users to its own app then enshittifies it.
I really valued twitter for the ability of an individual person or groups of people to share their experiences of world events happening in real time. This is less about following individual people and more about being able to get meaningful analytics out of the mass of posts in order to spotlight “things” – a political movement, an earthquake, a lawyer who cant turn off zoom filters – whatever. But, it did always have a lot of noise. I usually ended up there when somebody linked to a post.