I’m having a hard time imagining an accident caused by not wearing a seatbelt… I guess maybe being thrown from the vehicle and hitting a passenger in another car who was wearing a seatbelt?

Cheers to that!

There is legitimately good wine at just about every price point… You definitely should not write off a wine just because of the price.

And conversely, there’s lots of BAD wine that’s expensive.

Try everything and keep track of what you like! Your wine drinking experience will improve, and it’ll probably cost you less to boot!

I run a Nextcloud instance on my Unraid server.

It was not a prediction of victory… it was a 71% chance of winning the electoral college. Said another way, they gave her a 29% chance of losing.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

I agree… I was simply clarifying that Nate Silver did NOT predict that Hillary would win (nor is he predicting that Trump will win this election), which is a common misunderstanding about probability. For these types of models to be meaningful to the public, there needs to be literacy on what is meant by the percentages given. Really, I’m just reinforcing rodneylives’ point from another angle!

I don’t remember him predicting that she would win. His model (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/) gave her a 71% chance of winning. 71% is a long way from 100%, and the result of that election definitely fit within the model.

That said, you are absolutely correct… we need to keep shining a light on the realities of each of these candidates, because in the light of day Biden is a much better choice than Trump.

Stop j’terrorizing me!

There’s lots of youtube content on this subject… here’s a decent jumping off point, if you’re interested: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Nw6qyyrTeI

Selling is an art… and this is why I’m not in sales. I have absolutely no interest in trying to convince somebody to buy something.