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I fail to see how Israel or Netanyahu has any leverage over the USA to simply not veto a UN resolution that all other Western countries either support or abstain on.

A US vote against (without veto) or an abstention is entirely within his power to do.

Also, sidestepping Congress to deliver military aid to Israel is also not something that can be blamed on anyone else than Biden.

It really does seem like Trump is mentally preparing himself and his followers for a big loss.

Refuse to do job.

Get fired.

/surprisedpikachu

PSA: The old Opera guys have a new browser, Vivaldi.

It’s quite nice and I use it daily.

To me, it seems quite obvious that he meant this.

He does say a lot of unintelligible things, but this one makes sense to my ears and is very consistent with earlier claims all the way back to 2020.

Lol, devolving to ad hominems.

Good night.

I think it’s better you don’t respond. It’s not particularly productive to read your bad takes.

You put way too much effort in providing links instead of actually thinking.

That’s not how elections work.

He needs every subset of his coalition to win. Both moderates, progressives and independents. He can’t afford to alienate any of these groups.

The left flank will not vote for Trump, but they might stay home or vote third party.

I don’t think he has been, but that’s the perception among his base.

And having his base become apathetic is not gonna help him.

Trump is still managing to keep his own base energized, so they will definitely show up.

The independents and moderates have mostly decided they don’t want Trump, so Biden has them in the pocket, unless he really screws up the economy or does something else crazy.

Motivating the left flank to actually show up, that’s going to be his main challenge.

You are still thinking that winning elections is about convincing the center.

That was true up to about 2008.

Now, in the US, it’s about turning up the base.

Your analysis is weak, and pandering to the elderly is not going to be a winning strategy.

Up until now, Biden has been smarter than that. And I have some faith he will find a winning strategy.

But an analysis like this will only lead to losing.

Lol. If that’s the level of political analysis Biden is gaming on, then he’s gonna fail just like Hilary.

The name of the game is knowing your base and getting high voter turnout.

The Republicans understand this. I hope the Democrats don’t forget it like they did in 2016.

You could also argue, if Biden loses it will be because of his uncritical support for Israeli war crimes.

Nobody is forcing Biden to alienate his base.

And, although I personally don’t believe Joe is supporting genocide, it’s not very realistic to expect people to vote for someone who (in their mind) is supporting genocide.

Obviously…

Indeed.

And you’d think the Republicans would get tired of losing after the third time.

But it seems they really want to lose four elections with Trump.

The problem is their base is just too crazy. Bernie bros still showed up to vote for Hilary and Joe.

But the Trump maga crowd will not show up for anyone else, unless their cult leader is in charge.

If you look at the civil war and reconstruction, then yes. The path to unity first went through further division.

I don’t think it will ever get that bad. But letting bullies win only further strengthens their convictions.

They have to feel the pain of losing and come to the realisation that polarization will not benefit them.

Honestly, I actually quite like them.

Not for everywhere and every time, but for casual dining, it is very handy.

Having noticed this, I have come to embrace a more radically progressive approach, even though I am personally a more centrist person.

To have the scale balance in the center, if the right moves to their extreme, the left must also move to its extreme.

Yes, this is polarization. But it’s also just natural. If the right becomes milder, the left can also become milder.

It’s the only way to prevent the Right from shifting the Overton window further right.