The skills you need to guide LLMs though comes from practical application/experience writing code in the industry though, so my concern is how people are going to get those skills now. You don’t get them from college.
Yeah… it’s going to be really rough for new engineers for a while until we figure out a new way to train people. I think there will be people who are self taught and AI native who will do really well, but they will be the minority.
I don’t feel comfortable telling anyone to go into software engineering right now. I think the future is really uncertain. That said, I’m also not convinced this is a bad time.
The need for software engineering isn’t going away. LLMs are actually not very good at thinking and solving problems at a high level, so we still need people for that. LLMs are more of a performance multiplier than a replacement for human software engineers.
That does mean that fewer engineers will be needed to do the same work. But also, I think there’s a chance it’s a Jevons Paradox situation, and maybe if the cost of software drops we’ll see even more demand for it - like how we found tons of new uses for electricity when prices dropped. Maybe we’re entering a golden age of bespoke software. Unclear.
This is pretty off-base for what OP is asking about.
React and C# are open source.
WebM, WebP, and AV1 are open standards that have mature and well developed open source implementations.
Literally every item OP asked about is already OSS. OP just doesn’t like that they originated at Meta, Microsoft, and Google.
Not everything made by big tech is bad.
React is great. It’s open source. The governance is reasonable. Why should we replace it?
WebP, WebM and AV1 are great open technical formats. We should use them.
If a standard is truly open, then you should judge it on its technical merits, not some weird purity test about where it came from.
I’m not saying it’s great.
I just don’t see this ending without a bunch of people having their lives ruined, so whatever we can do to pull the bandaid off faster is the best we can hope for.
You know, this might not be for the worst.
People really need to get used to the idea that everything you see online, and especially on Facebook is fake. Maybe it’s for the best if they don’t moderate things well enough to let people pretend otherwise.
What I’m trying to say is that you should choose the programming language that will make your learning and early projects easiest.
Learning a new language later is not hard. Trying to use the wrong tool for the task when you’re just learning is hard, and will teach you the wrong lessons.
Learning more programming languages isn’t the hard part of becoming a decent programmer. You’re optimizing for the wrong thing here.
You should choose a language that works well for the specific projects you think you’re going to do in the near term. Depending on exactly what sort of projects you want to do, Python, Typescript, C++, and Rust are all languages I might recommend. I wouldn’t recommend raw Javascript for anything other than doing some tutorials before learning Typescript.
Without more information, I’d recommend Python.
The moment you start allowing limitations on who can or can’t be president you open the door to politicians shifting the requirements to fit their political needs. The legislature would immediate start the game of updating the requirements in a way that seems benign but is primarily calculated to hurt their opponents. Within 2-3 election cycles you’d have bills up specifically targeted to exclude their most popular opponents.
100% agreed, though I’m in the “neither is ideal” camp. My favorite language, by a long way at this point is Rust.
It’s not functional, but borrows a lot of functional idioms while avoiding the pain points functional language usually hit in exchange for losing the purity of functional languages.
They really want people scared, ehh?
Probably though, in 30 years, reactions towards the current automation of certain jobs will be seen similarly as frivolity.
Honestly, it already looks ridiculous.
To be clear, I think the automation of jobs is, at least in the immediate, a serious problem, with real consequences. The problem is real. The issue is that objecting to the technology itself is idiotic. That’s not a fight you’ll win. The technology exists. People are going to use it. And in the long run we’ll all be better off for it.
There’s serious conversations to be had about how we use AI, and how we deal with the consequences of its use, and especially how we manage the transition. But you can’t have those conversations with someone who insists that AI is the devil and that we need to stop it, and who gets mad at you when you suggest otherwise.
You’d better give us money and not try to regulate us.
Actually, right now, the western AI companies desperately want regulation.
An unregulated environment is one where they’re forced to compete on price against the Chinese companies and startups running open-weight models. All signs point to them losing that battle.
OpenAI/Anthropic’s wish list right now is a bunch of regulation to prevent the use of foreign models, and to require expensive to implement “safety” requirements that make it hard for startups to compete.
You absolutely shouldn’t be angry!
The existence of powerful open-weight models is the single thing that’s going to prevent us from descending into the full corporate dystopia everyone’s afraid of.
It’s going to hit the stock market hard once everyone figures out what’s going on though.
The hilarious part is, yes, I don’t care how fast my launcher is.
But… also, Steam is by far the slowest, least responsive program on my computer.
“Faster than Steam” feels like a joke.
I don’t use a lot of non-open source applications (and not a lot of desktop applications generally). Have they gotten so bad that the slowness of Steam doesn’t feel bad to people anymore?
the models only need to be right some of the time and they still constitute a threat.
Right!?!
And with how cheap and fast they are to run, they don’t have to be right that often as long as a separate run can verify/validate claims. In a lot of ways what the LLMs do should probably be thought of as just a very sophisticated sort of brute force approach. You’re effectively just searching the space of combinations of known vulnerabilities. It doesn’t require particular cleverness, just an encyclopedic knowledge, a reasonable way to prune the search space, and the ability to put in the compute time.
I must be missing something, because you’re getting a bunch of upvotes. I don’t disagree with anything you said, but it feels like a total non-sequitur to what I was saying.
Yes - proper air-gapping is a good idea. But asking the big AI labs to air gap is kind of pointless. Liability already gives them legal incentives to avoid incidents. If that didn’t stop them, a letter signed by a bunch of academics sure won’t. More importantly, open-weight models capable of doing all the things that we’re concerned about are already in the hands of bad actors around the world.
This letter is asking us to lock the front door of the house when the back wall is missing.
The ones in Russia definitely are. They don’t have to be local models - you run them in the cloud like anyone else.
The idea that the frontier labs have LLMs with special capabilities that make them dramatically better than the top open-weight models is largely marketing.
The reality is that most systems are poorly secured, and LLMs make exploiting vulnerabilities fast, cheap, and easy. What would have taken a trained security researcher weeks before can be done by a much less skilled attacker with an LLM in a few hours.
I think you might need to adjust expectations a little. If your website is simple enough that a competent person could reasonably do it for <$1,000, you’re honestly probably better off just using Squarespace or similar.
Building a website for a few hundred dollars just isn’t worth anyone’s time. Just getting enough information out of a client to build a site they’d be happy with is usually hours of meetings regardless of how simple the site is. Usually the process is going to require multiple design drafts and a bunch of back and forth. That adds up to lots of hours of skilled work.
If you’re an independent web designer you need happy customers and good reviews if you want to get future customers, and trying to do things on the cheap end just isn’t really a workable business model.