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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 14th, 2023

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  • I think there is a lot this fails to capture because certain things are unprecedented. Michigan’s GOP is in utter disarray and it isn’t the only one. And overturning Roe v Wade has energized the left and disillusioned whatever center remains.

    Now these facts are baked into the polling already, so obviously that’s a big concern, but I believe this means polling is too far right across the board. I think who makes up likely voters has shifted. RvW drew in younger voters and I think now that they are engaged they will remain so.

    Time will tell. I’ve seen far less Trump support this year than I did in 2020, which yeah is anecdotal, but I think it’s an indicator. Of course, even if I’m correct, Michigan isn’t going to carry the election alone, and it looks like the rest of the rust belt is further to the right.







  • Sure but that isn’t the point of my question, and treads perilously close to the area I’m trying to avoid. I’m not interested in the political decision here, but the facts that purport to underlie it.

    I can’t argue in favor of this action citing facts that not only seem to be bullshit, but also threaten to undermine the narrative that people don’t need guns for protection because violent crime is so low.

    Here we have the surgeon general saying gun violence is so bad it’s an emergency. How is that going to play with people who hoard guns out of xenophobic paranoia over their own safety?


  • Absolutely. I’m not saying this shouldn’t have been done. But the article states the reason for it is an all time high gun violence and I’m just having trouble reconciling that with all time low violent crime.

    If this is a tool that can be effective in addressing gun violence, I’m 100% for it. But I can’t fucking stand bullshit. If you can’t build a case for taking action without lying to people, stay at the drawing board until you work it out.

    That said, just because something trips my bullshit meter doesn’t mean it’s a lie. So I’d be remiss not to seek out a better understanding. I’m damn sure going to be called out on it myself if I defend it to more right-leaning folks in my life, so my own reputation is on the line and I’m not going to be caught repeating bullshit when I argue so hard to get them to check their facts.


  • I hope I can ask this without leading to a bunch of religious fervor about pro or anti-2A. For the record I support having some rights to guns, but as long as anyone claims 2A is a reason we can’t have sensible legislation about guns, then I’m against 2A entirely. I say that in effort to establish I’m not asking in bad faith.

    Violent crime is at an all time low, according to many articles. So how is gun violence at an all time high? Is there an excess of non-criminal gun violence? Like perhaps suicide is at a high? Police shootings making up the difference? Is there gun violence showing up in hospitals that isn’t being reported to law enforcement? Is there a different standard of what constitutes gun violence between the healthcare and law enforcement communities?

    I read the article and a couple of linked ones, but I couldn’t find any answer. At first glance it doesn’t seem like both things can be true, but I’m going to assume instead I’m just missing part of the picture, so what is it?