I’m more optimistic about France in the near term actually.

Don’t know how exactly that would work out but I agree that this seems possible.

It’s going to take an economic collapse for the Germans to get their heads out of their asses though.

If the war in Ukraine ends wihin the next year or so they might escape that, if Russia doesn’t continue puting pressure on Europe (by helping Yemen/Palestine and the decolonization of Africa, for example) that is.

But if Germany and Europe continue feeling the pressure then things might happen within the next couple of elections, perhaps even before a hard collapse although likely through fascism, so we need to be vigilant.

I’m not so sure I agree.

Even if there is any german company left decades from now they might have sanctioned China by them.

It could be even worse to the EU if the western bourgeoisie who owns the 100B in Russia demands to be repaid for Russia taking their money (which will likely happen as a reaction to such seizing by the EU), and those that own part of the Russian companies that had their funds seized might also demand a cut.

This could mean that the EU only gets about half or less of what they steal, but if they give this money to Ukraine before paying back their own this could just lead to them having to raise another 100B+ from their own population (from my calculations this would be about 1% of total tax collected by the EU, but I might be wrong) to pay that which just makes it all worse for them, specially if the euro loses much value during this while they may need to pay in dollars.