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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 26th, 2023

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  • This can also work against him and Democrats though. NYT had an article about it recently. They interviewed a Trump supporter in AZ who believed abortion was a right, but wanted to vote for Trump. She hoped this abortion measure would get on the ballot so she could vote for abortion, while voting for Trump. Despite the obvious and very public campaign pomise to severely limit abortion and Project 2025’s goal to ban it federally.

    An abortion ballot initiative will drive voters to the polls, but if they feel they are safe from losing abortion access, they may not feel like they need to support Dem candidates.


  • They never say who they’d like to see, at least not that I’ve ever seen. This user posts a lot though.

    This presents a problem though, progressives are making the call for Biden to step aside. Cool, that’s their view. But if he did, the DNC picks the candidate without primary input. Anyone remember the last time a block of Democratic voters saw the primary process as the DNC picking a candidate against the wishes of the voters? How did 2016 go? Whether you subscribe to the “Bernie won” talking points or not, it does raise the question. Would the DNC pick satisfy the voters calling for Biden to drop or would they pick a moderate Democrat (the majority of the Democratic base) and further upset progressives?




  • SCOTUS can’t do shit for state charges. Doesn’t mean they won’t try.

    However, His legal team will argue literally any punishment is too harsh and appeal the NY state charges, which will be granted because he was a president and has money. Then it will be delayed past the election and not matter anyway because this system is not made to resist willful destruction by those entrusted to protect it.

    Edit: Turns out they can. The NY prosecution has agreed to postpone charges less than a day after the ruling. Trump’s team asserts that the criminal activities occurred before he was president, but since the evidence was gathered during, he can not be prosecuted. Apparently concealing evidence unrelated to the presidency is an official act…


  • I agree with you. My thinking is, as a politically active person who is around politically active people from all over the spectrum, that no one has really heard from Trump in the past 3 years, besides the ones that wanted too. I’ve heard his voice maybe 10 times? Heard about him, of course, but not from him.

    While the debate was an absolute shitshow, Trump was Trump. He reminded everyone for 90 minutes what it was like to have him in every room, on every channel, at every dinner table, and in every conversation. Undecideds are who they are, but they didn’t like that in 2020 when they voted for Biden. People’s memories are short and I think they forgot how terrible he was.


  • Some polls back up this analysis. A Quinnipiac survey shows Kennedy getting 13 percent of the vote; he has support from 9 percent of Democrats, 8 percent of Republicans and 20 percent of independents. The poll shows Biden leading Trump by three points in a head-to-head matchup but Trump ahead by one point when third-party candidates are included. Though both numbers are within the poll’s margin of error, they suggest that Trump could benefit if the election isn’t seen as a binary choice.

    However, other polls show Kennedy pulling more voters from Trump, and the truth is no one knows how the election will ultimately shake out. “The public polling, if you dig into it, can be really head-swiveling,” said Smith. “It’s very hard to gauge the impact, but it does seem like he pulls from both, and right now — emphasis on ‘right now’ — slightly more from Biden.”

    Kennedy certainly has no qualms about spoiling the election for Trump. On CNN on Monday, he argued that Biden poses a “much worse” threat to democracy than Trump because of the Biden administration’s attempts to get social media companies to remove vaccine misinformation, much of it spread by Kennedy

    I really don’t see how a pro-Israel, against any ceasefire agreement, candidate that also believes the free market will fix climate change stands to gain more support from former Biden voters than former Trump voters.













  • I can’t tell if you’re summarizing here, but that’s exactly what he’s doing. The speaker and majority leader decide what bills are allowed to be brought to the floor for a vote. The only way around that is a discharge petition. Jefferies can’t bring the bill to a vote himself. From the article:

    “The legislation could also be brought to the floor via a discharge petition, which would require the support of 218 members, including at least four Republicans.”

    The question is, will 4 Republicans break with Trump to support it?