I think that outcome is pretty likely. The US tried to pivot NATO into a resource for them in Asia to pit against China, but it really didn’t stick. Even Japan rejected the idea of joining NATO while they were pushing for a branch office here, and when Japan rejects the US you know it’s an unpopular position.
With NATO not really being useful to them as a wedge against China, they’ll probably leave NATO to the EU forces.
Nazi shit and “we like internet” has basically been the two defining qualities of Estonia as far as I am aware.