Once someone hits 50%+1, the rest of the votes for that person mean nothing.
So you look at 2016 California, Clinton won 61.73% to 31.62%. Every vote beyond 50%+1 could have been cast for literally anyone and the election results would not have changed.
2020 Alabama, Trump won 62.03% to 36.57%. Same deal.
This is your regular reminder that national polls mean nothing. We do not have a national election.
Pay attention to the polls in these states, they will decide the election.
Pennsylvania - Biden +2/+3
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/pennsylvania/
Michigan - Biden +4
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/michigan/
Wisconsin - Trump +4/+6
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/wisconsin/
Minnesota - Biden +3
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/minnesota/
Georgia - Trump +8
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/georgia/
Virginia - Biden +6
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/virginia/
Arizona - Trump +6/+10
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/arizona/
New Mexico - Nothing remotely recent.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/new-mexico/
Nevada - Trump +2/+3
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/nevada/
It’s hilarious in a sad way that our election process is rigged from the get-go. Votes should be equal in weight and they aren’t.
Yup. Thanks “first past the post” elections.
Once someone hits 50%+1, the rest of the votes for that person mean nothing.
So you look at 2016 California, Clinton won 61.73% to 31.62%. Every vote beyond 50%+1 could have been cast for literally anyone and the election results would not have changed.
2020 Alabama, Trump won 62.03% to 36.57%. Same deal.
There is a (fictional) society where that is the case. It’s called “Panem”.