• mozz@mbin.grits.devOP
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    6 months ago

    Sssshhhhh you’re fuckin up the narrative

    We’ve pivoted from “the debate was a CATASTROPHE look at these polls falling” to “how can you say Biden is still viable when he’s 2 points behind right after something majorly depressive to his numbers happened and there are only 4 months more to go”

    It’s actually pretty impressive how seamless it went from caring deeply how much his poll numbers have dropped to caring deeply how they’re sitting at practically exactly the same level they were, which is slightly behind

    Also there’s this

    • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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      6 months ago

      Mozz, please don’t get bamboozled. One of this guys “keys” for his mathematical model is “Charisma”. That’s a stat he pulls out of his ass and pretty disqualifying in the world of statistical models. His claim to fame in predicting modern elections is ridiculous. Half the people I went to college with could predict the majority of races with reasonable accuracy. Obama McCain was probably the one toss up until the VP debate, which Palin lost to Biden really badly. Hillary is the one people like to point to, but people watching the numbers were shouting warnings at the democrats only to be called bernie bros.